Rhythm of the Race:
Presidential elections in Poland
In May, Poles will elect a new president. After two terms, Andrzej Duda is stepping down, and the Presidential Palace will have a new resident. Though the president's role in Poland’s political system is limited in terms of prerogatives, the presidential race remains a crucial event for all political parties. Who will emerge victorious, and how will the outcome shape the future of Polish politics?
Book a political briefing with our analysts for the key decision-makers at your firm or institution. Our experts will assess the state of the campaign, forecast election outcomes, and outline post‑election scenarios for the Polish political landscape and broader European affairs, helping you better prepare your business strategies.
Key questions
The winner – will Rafał Trzaskowski extend the Civic Coalition’s winning streak, or can Karol Nawrocki stage a comeback for PiS? Is there room for Sławomir Mentzen or another dark horse to secure a surprise victory or at least make it to the runoff?"
Social sentiment – the presidential election will serve as a barometer for the ruling coalition. What is the predicted voter turnout, and which social groups are likely to sway the result in their candidate’s favor?
The future of the coalition – how could different election outcomes reshape the dynamics within the ruling coalition, and what is the risk of its dissolution?
The situation on the right – will the election results lead to structural changes on the right side of the political scene? Is there a chance for Konfederacja to overtake PiS, and will this mark the dawn of the post‑Jarosław Kaczyński era?
Post‑election agenda – what can we expect once the new president is sworn in? What are the potential next steps, and how will Poland position itself in the EU and its relations with the US under different outcome scenarios?
Further details
The briefing will last approximately 60–90 minutes and can be held online or in person.
One or two analysts from Polityka Insight will lead the session.
Depending on your needs, Polityka Insight can provide a presentation or a short introductory speech. The main focus of the meeting will be addressing participants’ questions during the Q&A session.
As an additional service, Polityka Insight can prepare an in-depth research note (.pdf) after the presentation, including answers to specific questions and issues raised by the client during the meeting.
Our experts
About us
POLITYKA INSIGHT is a source of knowledge about Polish and European politics and economy for business leaders, political decision-makers, and diplomats. For the past 12 years, it has been providing its subscribers with analytical services, preparing reports and presentations for Polish and international institutions upon request, as well as organizing debates and conferences. Polityka Insight’s analysts can be heard in regularly published original podcast series, such as "Nasłuch" and "Energia do zmiany".
www.politykainsight.pl/en
To receive the offer, contact us
Maciej Michalik
Director of Researchm.michalik@politykainsight.pl
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